Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:30 • Cashpoint-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.43) 0.97 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.9% 37.2% 54.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.7%
0 - 1
29.8%
0 - 2
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
SCR Altach 0 30.7% 29.8% 14.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2%
1 6.4% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSCR AltachSturm Graz
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack21%64%
Defense71%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SCR Altach Sturm Graz
HATHAT
Played448347
Wins50%25%38%33%100%71%
Draws50%25%38%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%67%0%29%

Form: SCR Altach: WWDDLWDL • Sturm Graz: WLWWLWW

League goals

Metric SCR Altach Sturm Graz
HATHAT
GF total42621012
GF avg1.00.50.80.72.51.7
GA total224314
GA avg0.50.50.51.00.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSCR AltachSturm Graz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%86%43%
1.513%0%57%14%
2.50%0%29%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSCR AltachSturm Graz
HATHAT
Clean sheets224134
Failed to score033101

Penalties

MetricSCR AltachSturm Graz
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSCR AltachSturm Graz
Wins22
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-00-3
Biggest losses—1-01-2—
Goals For1213
Goals Against1121

Model comparison

MetricSCR AltachSturm Graz
Form29%71%
Att25%75%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total25.7%74.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sturm Graz and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SCR Altach = 0.21 (league 1.43), Sturm Graz = 0.97 (league 1.29)

Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
SCR Altach 0 30.7% 29.8% 14.5% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2%
1 6.4% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 37.2% · Away win 54.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1