Bundesliga — Austria
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 • Merkur-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.44) 2.85 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 14.4% 67.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
0 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
TSV Hartberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grazer AK 0 2.0% 5.8% 8.3% 7.9% 5.6% 3.2%
1 2.1% 6.1% 8.6% 8.2% 5.8% 3.3%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.3% 3.0% 1.7%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrazer AKTSV Hartberg
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack14%50%
Defense29%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grazer AK TSV Hartberg
HATHAT
Played549369
Wins0%0%0%0%50%33%
Draws60%50%56%33%17%22%
Loses40%50%44%67%33%44%

Form: Grazer AK: DLDDLLDDL • TSV Hartberg: LWLWLWDLD

League goals

Metric Grazer AK TSV Hartberg
HATHAT
GF total51631114
GF avg1.00.30.71.01.81.6
GA total109195914
GA avg2.02.32.11.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrazer AKTSV Hartberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%78%78%
1.511%56%56%44%
2.50%44%22%22%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrazer AKTSV Hartberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricGrazer AKTSV Hartberg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGrazer AKTSV Hartberg
Wins01
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———1-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-24-2
Goals For2123
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricGrazer AKTSV Hartberg
Form29%71%
Att22%78%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h25%75%
Goals20%80%
Total27.5%72.5%

Advice: Winner : TSV Hartberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grazer AK = 1.04 (league 1.44), TSV Hartberg = 2.85 (league 1.26)

TSV Hartberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grazer AK 0 2.0% 5.8% 8.3% 7.9% 5.6% 3.2%
1 2.1% 6.1% 8.6% 8.2% 5.8% 3.3%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.3% 3.0% 1.7%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 67.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1