Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Merkur-Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.44) 1.58 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.1% 24.4% 63.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.0%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Wolfsberger AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 12.6% 20.0% 15.8% 8.3% 3.3% 1.0%
1 6.2% 9.7% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack43%48%
Defense81%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
HATHAT
Played3696410
Wins33%100%78%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses67%0%22%50%0%30%

Form: Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWW • Wolfsberger AC: LWWLDWDWWL

League goals

Metric Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
HATHAT
GF total216189817
GF avg0.72.72.01.52.01.7
GA total3477411
GA avg1.00.70.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%90%70%
1.567%22%50%40%
2.533%11%30%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
HATHAT
Clean sheets145213
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Wins22
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-01-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-2—
Goals For1433
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSturm GrazWolfsberger AC
Form55%45%
Att47%53%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wolfsberger AC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away3.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.07 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sturm Graz = 0.49 (league 1.44), Wolfsberger AC = 1.58 (league 1.26)

Wolfsberger AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sturm Graz 0 12.6% 20.0% 15.8% 8.3% 3.3% 1.0%
1 6.2% 9.7% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 63.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1