Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadion Hartberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.44) 2.26 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.0% 18.3% 65.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSV Hartberg 0 4.4% 9.9% 11.1% 8.4% 4.7% 2.1%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9%
2 1.7% 3.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTSV HartbergSturm Graz
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack62%62%
Defense69%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric TSV Hartberg Sturm Graz
HATHAT
Played59146713
Wins40%44%43%17%86%54%
Draws20%33%29%17%0%8%
Loses40%22%29%67%14%38%

Form: TSV Hartberg: LWLWLWDLDDDWWW • Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDL

League goals

Metric TSV Hartberg Sturm Graz
HATHAT
GF total7152251722
GF avg1.41.71.60.82.41.7
GA total6121810616
GA avg1.21.31.31.70.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTSV HartbergSturm Graz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%71%92%62%
1.564%36%46%38%
2.514%14%23%23%
3.50%7%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTSV HartbergSturm Graz
HATHAT
Clean sheets134145
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricTSV HartbergSturm Graz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricTSV HartbergSturm Graz
Wins14
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-31-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-21-32-1
Goals For2314
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricTSV HartbergSturm Graz
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sturm Graz

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.25 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): TSV Hartberg = 0.87 (league 1.44), Sturm Graz = 2.26 (league 1.28)

Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
TSV Hartberg 0 4.4% 9.9% 11.1% 8.4% 4.7% 2.1%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.7% 7.3% 4.1% 1.9%
2 1.7% 3.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 65.9%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1