Bundesliga — Austria
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 16:00 • Merkur-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.44) 0.75 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 28.8% 21.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
FC BW Linz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grazer AK 0 12.8% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrazer AKFC BW Linz
Played55
Form47%0%
Attack32%32%
Defense74%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grazer AK FC BW Linz
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%14%14%29%14%21%
Draws57%29%43%0%14%7%
Loses29%57%43%71%71%71%

Form: Grazer AK: DLDDLLDDLDLWLW • FC BW Linz: LLLLDWLWWLLLLL

League goals

Metric Grazer AK FC BW Linz
HATHAT
GF total84129413
GF avg1.10.60.91.30.60.9
GA total111324111223
GA avg1.61.91.71.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrazer AKFC BW Linz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%50%79%
1.521%43%29%57%
2.57%29%14%21%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrazer AKFC BW Linz
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score246347

Penalties

MetricGrazer AKFC BW Linz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGrazer AKFC BW Linz
Wins12
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-1
Biggest losses0-35-00-23-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricGrazer AKFC BW Linz
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Grazer AK or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Betano
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.15 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grazer AK = 1.30 (league 1.44), FC BW Linz = 0.75 (league 1.27)

FC BW Linz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grazer AK 0 12.8% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 21.6%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1