Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 • Generali Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.44) 2.70 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 11.7% 78.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.9%
0 - 3
13.4%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Austria Vienna 0 4.1% 11.0% 14.9% 13.4% 9.1% 4.9%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.4%
2 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAustria ViennaSturm Graz
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%43%
Defense50%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%50%44%25%88%56%
Draws13%13%13%13%0%6%
Loses50%38%44%63%13%38%

Form: Austria Vienna: DLLLWWWWLWLLWWDL • Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDLWLW

League goals

Metric Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
HATHAT
GF total7152281826
GF avg0.91.91.41.02.31.6
GA total12132514620
GA avg1.51.61.61.80.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAustria ViennaSturm Graz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%81%94%63%
1.538%63%44%38%
2.525%13%19%25%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAustria ViennaSturm Graz
HATHAT
Clean sheets213156
Failed to score404101

Penalties

MetricAustria ViennaSturm Graz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAustria ViennaSturm Graz
Wins44
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-32-11-32-1
Goals For3324
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricAustria ViennaSturm Graz
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Austria Vienna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.77 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Austria Vienna = 0.50 (league 1.44), Sturm Graz = 2.70 (league 1.28)

Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Austria Vienna 0 4.1% 11.0% 14.9% 13.4% 9.1% 4.9%
1 2.0% 5.5% 7.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.4%
2 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 78.0%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1