Bundesliga — Austria
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:00 • Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43) 2.73 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.2% 16.3% 62.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 3
7.9%
0 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
WSG Wattens 0 1.9% 5.1% 6.9% 6.3% 4.3% 2.3%
1 2.3% 6.4% 8.7% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9%
3 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWSG WattensSturm Graz
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack44%67%
Defense22%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric WSG Wattens Sturm Graz
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins38%20%28%33%78%56%
Draws25%40%33%11%0%6%
Loses38%40%39%56%22%39%

Form: WSG Wattens: WWDDLDLLLWDDWDWLLL • Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDLWLWLW

League goals

Metric WSG Wattens Sturm Graz
HATHAT
GF total14102491928
GF avg1.81.01.31.02.11.6
GA total13142714923
GA avg1.61.41.51.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWSG WattensSturm Graz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%94%61%
1.533%44%39%39%
2.522%17%17%28%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWSG WattensSturm Graz
HATHAT
Clean sheets123257
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricWSG WattensSturm Graz
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricWSG WattensSturm Graz
Wins24
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-34-11-33-1
Goals For4324
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricWSG WattensSturm Graz
Form31%69%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sturm Graz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ 888Sport
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.08 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): WSG Wattens = 1.26 (league 1.43), Sturm Graz = 2.73 (league 1.23)

Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
WSG Wattens 0 1.9% 5.1% 6.9% 6.3% 4.3% 2.3%
1 2.3% 6.4% 8.7% 7.9% 5.4% 2.9%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9%
3 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 16.3% · Away win 62.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1