Bundesliga — Austria
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:00 • Lavanttal-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.43) 1.80 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.3% 23.1% 55.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wolfsberger AC 0 6.2% 11.2% 10.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWolfsberger ACSturm Graz
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack46%38%
Defense31%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%30%35%40%70%55%
Draws20%20%20%10%0%5%
Loses40%50%45%50%30%40%

Form: Wolfsberger AC: LWWLDWDWWLWDLLLWLDLL • Sturm Graz: WLWWLWWWWLLDLWLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz
HATHAT
GF total141428101929
GF avg1.41.41.41.01.91.5
GA total121527141024
GA avg1.21.51.41.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWolfsberger ACSturm Graz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%90%60%
1.540%50%35%35%
2.520%5%15%25%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWolfsberger ACSturm Graz
HATHAT
Clean sheets314358
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricWolfsberger ACSturm Graz
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricWolfsberger ACSturm Graz
Wins24
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-33-1
Goals For3324
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricWolfsberger ACSturm Graz
Form31%69%
Att55%45%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h85%15%
Goals79%21%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sturm Graz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wolfsberger AC = 0.98 (league 1.43), Sturm Graz = 1.80 (league 1.27)

Sturm Graz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wolfsberger AC 0 6.2% 11.2% 10.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.1% 11.0% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 55.6%

vtt 13 , vtd1