Thu, Sep 4 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio El Trébol
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.45) 1.29 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.8% 29.1% 49.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.4%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mixco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal 0 13.5% 17.4% 11.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.4% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMunicipalMixco
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack43%50%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Municipal Mixco
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins33%50%43%100%50%71%
Draws67%50%57%0%25%14%
Loses0%0%0%0%25%14%

Form: Municipal: DWWDWDD • Mixco: WWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Municipal Mixco
HATHAT
GF total4610549
GF avg1.31.51.41.71.01.3
GA total347134
GA avg1.01.01.00.30.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMunicipalMixco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%86%43%
1.543%29%43%14%
2.514%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMunicipalMixco
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricMunicipalMixco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMunicipalMixco
Wins24
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-32-01-2
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricMunicipalMixco
Form47%53%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h75%25%
Goals82%18%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Municipal or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away5.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Municipal = 0.72 (league 1.45), Mixco = 1.29 (league 0.78)

Mixco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal 0 13.5% 17.4% 11.2% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.4% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 49.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1