Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.47) 1.72 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 23.4% 59.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Municipal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 8.3% 14.3% 12.3% 7.1% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.4% 10.9% 9.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuroraMunicipal
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack69%100%
Defense46%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurora Municipal
HATHAT
Played56116612
Wins60%33%45%67%50%58%
Draws40%33%36%33%50%42%
Loses0%33%18%0%0%0%

Form: Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDL • Municipal: DWWDWDDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Aurora Municipal
HATHAT
GF total71118131023
GF avg1.41.81.62.21.71.9
GA total41014459
GA avg0.81.71.30.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuroraMunicipal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%73%92%58%
1.555%45%58%17%
2.59%9%42%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuroraMunicipal
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricAuroraMunicipal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAuroraMunicipal
Wins22
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-00-3
Biggest losses3-2
Goals For3233
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricAuroraMunicipal
Form38%62%
Att41%59%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total33.4%66.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Municipal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurora = 0.76 (league 1.47), Municipal = 1.72 (league 0.79)

Municipal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 8.3% 14.3% 12.3% 7.1% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.4% 10.9% 9.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 2.4% 4.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 59.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1