Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.45) 0.93 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 26.2% 23.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mictlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 8.9% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.3% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalacatecoMictlán
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack40%20%
Defense60%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malacateco Mictlán
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins50%17%33%50%20%36%
Draws0%17%8%50%20%36%
Loses50%67%58%0%60%27%

Form: Malacateco: LDLWLLWLWLWL • Mictlán: LDDLDWDLWWW

League goals

Metric Malacateco Mictlán
HATHAT
GF total11516538
GF avg1.80.81.30.80.60.7
GA total71219268
GA avg1.22.01.60.31.20.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalacatecoMictlán
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%45%45%
1.550%42%18%27%
2.517%25%9%0%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalacatecoMictlán
HATHAT
Clean sheets202516
Failed to score134246

Penalties

MetricMalacatecoMictlán
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMalacatecoMictlán
Wins11
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-21-01-3
Biggest losses2-34-12-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricMalacatecoMictlán
Form38%63%
Att67%33%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total51.5%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Malacateco or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away5.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malacateco = 1.49 (league 1.45), Mictlán = 0.93 (league 0.78)

Mictlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 8.9% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.3% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.2% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 23.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1