Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.45) 1.39 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.4% 25.3% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
8.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.6% 11.9% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseAurora
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack15%62%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Aurora
HATHAT
Played56116612
Wins60%0%27%67%33%50%
Draws20%17%18%33%33%33%
Loses20%83%55%0%33%17%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLL • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLW

League goals

Metric Marquense Aurora
HATHAT
GF total62881119
GF avg1.20.30.71.31.81.6
GA total3141741014
GA avg0.62.31.50.71.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%73%100%67%
1.59%45%50%42%
2.59%36%8%8%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets303314
Failed to score246000

Penalties

MetricMarquenseAurora
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMarquenseAurora
Wins12
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-03-2
Goals For4132
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseAurora
Form27%73%
Att20%80%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.41 (league 1.45), Aurora = 1.39 (league 0.78)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.6% 11.9% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 36.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1