Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio La Asunción
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.45) 0.39 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.0% 35.8% 14.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.2%
1 - 0
25.0%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 25.2% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMictlánXelajú
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack33%100%
Defense78%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mictlán Xelajú
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins50%17%33%57%17%38%
Draws50%17%33%29%17%23%
Loses0%67%33%14%67%38%

Form: Mictlán: LDDLDWDLWWWL • Xelajú: WLDLWDWLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Mictlán Xelajú
HATHAT
GF total53816622
GF avg0.80.50.72.31.01.7
GA total27951116
GA avg0.31.20.80.71.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMictlánXelajú
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%50%85%62%
1.517%25%38%46%
2.58%0%31%8%
3.50%0%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMictlánXelajú
HATHAT
Clean sheets516415
Failed to score257202

Penalties

MetricMictlánXelajú
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMictlánXelajú
Wins32
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-35-00-1
Biggest losses2-00-24-1
Goals For2351
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricMictlánXelajú
Form56%44%
Att23%77%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mictlán or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ 188Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mictlán = 0.99 (league 1.45), Xelajú = 0.39 (league 0.78)

Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 25.2% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.0% 9.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 14.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1