Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.40) 0.27 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 30.9% 8.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.4%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Achuapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 22.7% 6.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 4.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuroraAchuapa
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack50%25%
Defense50%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurora Achuapa
HATHAT
Played67135712
Wins67%29%46%60%0%25%
Draws33%43%38%20%43%33%
Loses0%29%15%20%57%42%

Form: Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWD • Achuapa: DDWLDWLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Aurora Achuapa
HATHAT
GF total8122011213
GF avg1.31.71.52.20.31.1
GA total411156915
GA avg0.71.61.21.21.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuroraAchuapa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%69%50%75%
1.546%38%42%42%
2.58%8%8%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuroraAchuapa
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score000066

Penalties

MetricAuroraAchuapa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAuroraAchuapa
Wins21
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-24-1—
Biggest losses—3-21-23-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricAuroraAchuapa
Form60%40%
Att67%33%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h62%38%
Goals43%57%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aurora or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away5.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurora = 1.21 (league 1.40), Achuapa = 0.27 (league 0.76)

Achuapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 22.7% 6.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.4% 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 4.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1