Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.45) 1.16 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 17.8% 16.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
8.1%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Guastatoya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.6% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalacatecoGuastatoya
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack31%38%
Defense44%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malacateco Guastatoya
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%14%36%14%14%14%
Draws0%14%7%29%14%21%
Loses43%71%57%57%71%64%

Form: Malacateco: LDLWLLWLWLWLWL • Guastatoya: LLDLLLLLLWDWLD

League goals

Metric Malacateco Guastatoya
HATHAT
GF total126185611
GF avg1.70.91.30.70.90.8
GA total71623111526
GA avg1.02.31.61.62.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalacatecoGuastatoya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%50%79%
1.543%43%21%64%
2.514%29%7%29%
3.50%14%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalacatecoGuastatoya
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score134437

Penalties

MetricMalacatecoGuastatoya
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMalacatecoGuastatoya
Wins11
Draws11
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-20-2
Biggest losses2-34-10-35-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricMalacatecoGuastatoya
Form43%57%
Att45%55%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Malacateco or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malacateco = 2.46 (league 1.45), Guastatoya = 1.16 (league 0.78)

Guastatoya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 2.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.6% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 16.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1