Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.41) 0.39 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.6% 11.9% 3.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.2%
3 - 0
14.7%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marquense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 5.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalacatecoMarquense
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack30%50%
Defense0%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malacateco Marquense
HATHAT
Played88168715
Wins50%13%31%63%0%33%
Draws0%13%6%25%14%20%
Loses50%75%63%13%86%47%

Form: Malacateco: LDLWLLWLWLWLWLLL • Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Malacateco Marquense
HATHAT
GF total1271911213
GF avg1.50.91.21.40.30.9
GA total8202861723
GA avg1.02.51.80.82.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalacatecoMarquense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%81%53%73%
1.538%44%13%47%
2.513%31%13%33%
3.50%19%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalacatecoMarquense
HATHAT
Clean sheets303404
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricMalacatecoMarquense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMalacatecoMarquense
Wins11
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-1—
Biggest losses2-34-10-23-0
Goals For3241
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricMalacatecoMarquense
Form30%70%
Att38%63%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.8%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marquense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away5.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malacateco = 2.56 (league 1.41), Marquense = 0.39 (league 0.77)

Marquense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 5.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 6.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.6% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1