Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.46) 1.17 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 23.7% 25.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 5.5% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.1% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseXelajú
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack75%75%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Xelajú
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins63%0%31%44%25%35%
Draws25%13%19%33%13%24%
Loses13%88%50%22%63%41%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWL • Xelajú: WLDLWDWLDLWWLLLWD

League goals

Metric Marquense Xelajú
HATHAT
GF total1131418927
GF avg1.40.40.92.01.11.6
GA total6192581422
GA avg0.82.41.60.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseXelajú
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%75%88%71%
1.513%50%35%47%
2.513%31%24%6%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseXelajú
HATHAT
Clean sheets404415
Failed to score257202

Penalties

MetricMarquenseXelajú
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMarquenseXelajú
Wins12
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-15-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-24-1
Goals For4152
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseXelajú
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Marquense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.73 (league 1.46), Xelajú = 1.17 (league 0.75)

Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 5.5% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.1% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 25.8%

vtt 9 , vtd1