Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.41) 2.07 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 20.9% 42.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 2.1% 4.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6%
1 3.7% 7.7% 8.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.2%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.1% 4.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalacatecoAurora
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack83%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malacateco Aurora
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%22%39%67%33%50%
Draws0%11%6%33%33%33%
Loses44%67%56%0%33%17%

Form: Malacateco: LDLWLLWLWLWLWLLLWW • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLD

League goals

Metric Malacateco Aurora
HATHAT
GF total14822131427
GF avg1.60.91.21.41.61.5
GA total9202971421
GA avg1.02.21.60.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalacatecoAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%89%72%
1.539%39%50%39%
2.511%28%11%6%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalacatecoAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets314415
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricMalacatecoAurora
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMalacatecoAurora
Wins13
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-20-2
Biggest losses2-34-1—2-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricMalacatecoAurora
Form38%63%
Att42%58%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total41.3%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.68 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malacateco = 1.82 (league 1.41), Aurora = 2.07 (league 0.77)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malacateco 0 2.1% 4.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6%
1 3.7% 7.7% 8.0% 5.5% 2.8% 1.2%
2 3.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.1% 4.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6%
4 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 42.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1