Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.45) 1.05 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 24.6% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.7% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuroraXelajú
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack63%50%
Defense25%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurora Xelajú
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins67%30%47%40%22%32%
Draws33%30%32%40%11%26%
Loses0%40%21%20%67%42%

Form: Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDL • Xelajú: WLDLWDWLDLWWLLLWDLD

League goals

Metric Aurora Xelajú
HATHAT
GF total13142718927
GF avg1.41.41.41.81.01.4
GA total7152281523
GA avg0.81.51.20.81.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuroraXelajú
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%74%79%68%
1.547%37%32%42%
2.511%5%21%5%
3.50%0%5%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuroraXelajú
HATHAT
Clean sheets415516
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricAuroraXelajú
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAuroraXelajú
Wins32
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-25-01-2
Biggest losses2-00-24-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricAuroraXelajú
Form58%42%
Att56%44%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Aurora or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away4.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurora = 1.64 (league 1.45), Xelajú = 1.05 (league 0.76)

Xelajú
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 6.8% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.1% 11.7% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1