Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.45) 1.01 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 30.0% 33.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.3%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mixco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 12.4% 12.5% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseMixco
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack80%100%
Defense40%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Mixco
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins67%0%32%80%44%63%
Draws22%30%26%10%11%11%
Loses11%70%42%10%44%26%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDD • Mixco: WWWWDLWLWDWWWWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Marquense Mixco
HATHAT
GF total12416161026
GF avg1.30.40.81.61.11.4
GA total6202661117
GA avg0.72.01.40.61.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseMixco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%68%84%58%
1.511%42%42%21%
2.511%26%5%11%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseMixco
HATHAT
Clean sheets516538
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricMarquenseMixco
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMarquenseMixco
Wins14
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—4-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-13-1
Goals For4142
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseMixco
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Marquense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 1.08 (league 1.45), Mixco = 1.01 (league 0.76)

Mixco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 12.4% 12.5% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 33.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1