Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio La Asunción
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.49) 1.67 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 24.2% 49.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 6.2% 10.3% 8.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.4% 5.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMictlánAurora
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack24%29%
Defense53%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mictlán Aurora
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%10%25%70%30%50%
Draws40%10%25%30%30%30%
Loses20%80%50%0%40%20%

Form: Mictlán: LDDLDWDLWWWLWLLLLLDL • Aurora: WLDWWDWWDDLWDWWWLDLW

League goals

Metric Mictlán Aurora
HATHAT
GF total11617161430
GF avg1.10.60.91.61.41.5
GA total9142391524
GA avg0.91.41.20.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMictlánAurora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%70%85%75%
1.525%35%50%40%
2.55%10%15%5%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMictlánAurora
HATHAT
Clean sheets516415
Failed to score279123

Penalties

MetricMictlánAurora
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMictlánAurora
Wins33
Draws22
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-20-2
Biggest losses2-32-02-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricMictlánAurora
Form13%88%
Att44%56%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aurora

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mictlán = 1.11 (league 1.49), Aurora = 1.67 (league 0.75)

Aurora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mictlán 0 6.2% 10.3% 8.7% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.8%
2 3.8% 6.4% 5.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 49.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1