Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.45) 1.15 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 31.0% 46.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.8%
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Municipal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 15.4% 17.8% 10.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarquenseMunicipal
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack18%41%
Defense53%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marquense Municipal
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins60%0%29%82%30%57%
Draws20%27%24%18%50%33%
Loses20%73%48%0%20%10%

Form: Marquense: LDDWLWLWLLLDWLWLWDDLL • Municipal: DWWDWDDWWDWWLWDWDWLWW

League goals

Metric Marquense Municipal
HATHAT
GF total13417261137
GF avg1.30.40.82.41.11.8
GA total825337815
GA avg0.82.31.60.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarquenseMunicipal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%81%62%
1.510%48%52%10%
2.510%29%38%0%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarquenseMunicipal
HATHAT
Clean sheets516448
Failed to score279044

Penalties

MetricMarquenseMunicipal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricMarquenseMunicipal
Wins12
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—4-10-3
Biggest losses0-25-0—1-0
Goals For4143
Goals Against2512

Model comparison

MetricMarquenseMunicipal
Form33%67%
Att30%70%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h25%75%
Goals17%83%
Total28.5%71.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Municipal and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.60 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Betano
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marquense = 0.72 (league 1.45), Municipal = 1.15 (league 0.76)

Municipal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marquense 0 15.4% 17.8% 10.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 12.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1