La Liga — Spain
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.47) 2.61 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 16.1% 66.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 2
9.0%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 2.7% 6.9% 9.0% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7%
1 2.7% 7.1% 9.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelona
Played22
Form50%100%
Attack27%55%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.56 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Barcelona
HATHAT
Played022022
Wins—50%50%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—50%50%—0%0%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WL • Barcelona: WW

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total033066
GF avg0.01.51.50.03.03.0
GA total022022
GA avg0.01.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%50%
1.550%0%100%50%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelona
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelona
Wins12
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3—0-3
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For0303
Goals Against0102

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoBarcelona
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total35.6%64.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.47 @ 1xBet
Draw5.50 @ Bet365
Away1.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.26 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 1.02 (league 1.47), Barcelona = 2.61 (league 1.15)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 2.7% 6.9% 9.0% 7.9% 5.1% 2.7%
1 2.7% 7.1% 9.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 66.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1