La Liga — Spain
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.46) 0.87 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 20.2% 14.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Espanyol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 5.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.0% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridEspanyol
Played44
Form100%83%
Attack38%38%
Defense90%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 28 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.55 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Espanyol
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins100%100%100%100%0%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWW • Espanyol: WDWW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Espanyol
HATHAT
GF total358628
GF avg1.52.52.02.02.02.0
GA total112325
GA avg0.50.50.51.02.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridEspanyol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%75%
1.575%0%75%50%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridEspanyol
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricReal MadridEspanyol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricReal MadridEspanyol
Wins41
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-33-2—
Biggest losses————
Goals For2332
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridEspanyol
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h80%20%
Goals78%22%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Real Madrid or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ 1xBet
Draw7.40 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 2.06 (league 1.46), Espanyol = 0.87 (league 1.15)

Espanyol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 5.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.0% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.8% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1