La Liga — Spain
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:30 • Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.25 (league 1.46) 0.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 1.7% 0.5%
best score tips
5 - 0
11.4%
4 - 0
10.9%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaReal Sociedad
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack100%38%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Real Sociedad
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins100%75%83%33%0%17%
Draws0%25%17%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%33%67%50%

Form: Barcelona: WWDWWW • Real Sociedad: DDLLLW

League goals

Metric Barcelona Real Sociedad
HATHAT
GF total91019426
GF avg4.52.53.21.30.71.0
GA total044459
GA avg0.01.00.71.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaReal Sociedad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%83%83%
1.583%17%17%50%
2.583%0%0%17%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaReal Sociedad
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaReal Sociedad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaReal Sociedad
Wins20
Draws12
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-31-0—
Biggest losses——1-23-1
Goals For6321
Goals Against0223

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaReal Sociedad
Form76%24%
Att76%24%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals73%27%
Total70.4%29.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ 1xBet
Draw5.70 @ 188Bet
Away9.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.38 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 5.25 (league 1.46), Real Sociedad = 0.43 (league 1.15)

Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 0.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1