La Liga — Spain
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46) 0.26 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 39.4% 10.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
1 - 0
28.2%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 31.6% 8.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.2% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElcheCelta Vigo
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack58%42%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elche Celta Vigo
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%0%33%0%0%0%
Draws33%100%67%75%100%83%
Loses0%0%0%25%0%17%

Form: Elche: DDWDWD • Celta Vigo: LDDDDD

League goals

Metric Elche Celta Vigo
HATHAT
GF total448325
GF avg1.31.31.30.81.00.8
GA total145527
GA avg0.31.30.81.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElcheCelta Vigo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%83%100%
1.533%17%0%17%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElcheCelta Vigo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricElcheCelta Vigo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricElcheCelta Vigo
Wins10
Draws20
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For2211
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricElcheCelta Vigo
Form64%36%
Att58%42%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Elche or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.26 @ 1xBet
Away2.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Elche = 0.89 (league 1.46), Celta Vigo = 0.26 (league 1.15)

Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 31.6% 8.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.2% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 10.5%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1