Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 16:30 • Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.46) 1.01 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.1% 35.6% 52.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.3%
0 - 0
26.0%
0 - 2
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mallorca 0 26.0% 26.3% 13.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
1 8.7% 8.8% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMallorcaAlaves
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack33%27%
Defense47%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mallorca Alaves
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%0%0%33%33%33%
Draws67%0%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%100%67%33%33%33%

Form: Mallorca: LDLLDL • Alaves: WLDWLD

League goals

Metric Mallorca Alaves
HATHAT
GF total235426
GF avg0.71.00.81.30.71.0
GA total5611426
GA avg1.72.01.81.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMallorcaAlaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%83%83%
1.517%50%17%17%
2.50%33%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMallorcaAlaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricMallorcaAlaves
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMallorcaAlaves
Wins01
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1
Biggest losses0-33-21-21-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against3321

Model comparison

MetricMallorcaAlaves
Form29%71%
Att56%44%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alaves and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ 1xBet
Draw3.11 @ 1xBet
Away3.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.42 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mallorca = 0.34 (league 1.46), Alaves = 1.01 (league 1.17)

Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mallorca 0 26.0% 26.3% 13.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
1 8.7% 8.8% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 52.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1