Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.46) 0.26 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.3% 7.0% 1.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
16.9%
4 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 4.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.3% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarrealAthletic Club
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack71%29%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%33%67%50%50%50%
Draws0%33%17%25%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%25%50%33%

Form: Villarreal: WWDLWW • Athletic Club: WWWLLD

League goals

Metric Villarreal Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total9312527
GF avg3.01.02.01.31.01.2
GA total145437
GA avg0.31.30.81.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarrealAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%83%
1.567%17%33%33%
2.517%0%17%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarrealAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricVillarrealAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricVillarrealAthletic Club
Wins23
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-21-2
Biggest losses2-00-12-0
Goals For5232
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricVillarrealAthletic Club
Form59%41%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h38%62%
Goals53%47%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Winner : Villarreal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 1xBet
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away3.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Villarreal = 3.08 (league 1.46), Athletic Club = 0.26 (league 1.17)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 4.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.3% 4.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.3% · Draw 7.0% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1