La Liga — Spain
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 • Estadio Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.45) 1.50 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 25.6% 44.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 7.0% 10.5% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.2% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.7% 7.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesElche
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack27%53%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Elche
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%75%0%43%
Draws33%25%29%25%100%57%
Loses33%50%43%0%0%0%

Form: Alaves: WLDWLDL • Elche: DDWDWDW

League goals

Metric Alaves Elche
HATHAT
GF total4266410
GF avg1.30.50.91.51.31.4
GA total437246
GA avg1.30.81.00.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesElche
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%100%71%
1.514%14%43%14%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesElche
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricAlavesElche
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlavesElche
Wins11
Draws12
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-0—
Biggest losses1-21-0——
Goals For2122
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricAlavesElche
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution43%58%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total38.5%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Elche

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 1.16 (league 1.45), Elche = 1.50 (league 1.13)

Elche
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 7.0% 10.5% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.2% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.7% 7.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 44.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1