La Liga — Spain
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.46) 1.40 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.4% 27.6% 55.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
13.3%
0 - 2
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 13.3% 18.6% 13.0% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.5% 8.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGironaValencia
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack14%57%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Girona Valencia
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins0%0%0%50%0%29%
Draws25%67%43%25%33%29%
Loses75%33%57%25%67%43%

Form: Girona: LLLDLDD • Valencia: DLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Girona Valencia
HATHAT
GF total123729
GF avg0.30.70.41.80.71.3
GA total97163912
GA avg2.32.32.30.83.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGironaValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%86%71%71%
1.50%57%43%43%
2.50%43%14%14%
3.50%29%0%14%
4.50%14%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGironaValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score314022

Penalties

MetricGironaValencia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGironaValencia
Wins01
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-0—
Biggest losses0-45-01-26-0
Goals For1132
Goals Against4526

Model comparison

MetricGironaValencia
Form30%70%
Att20%80%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Valencia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ 1xBet
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away3.25 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Girona = 0.62 (league 1.46), Valencia = 1.40 (league 1.15)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 13.3% 18.6% 13.0% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.5% 8.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 55.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1