Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46) 4.28 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.2% 5.9% 64.9%
best score tips
0 - 4
7.9%
0 - 3
7.4%
1 - 4
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla 0 0.6% 2.4% 5.2% 7.4% 7.9% 6.8%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.1%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 2.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSevillaBarcelona
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack53%100%
Defense67%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sevilla Barcelona
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%75%43%100%75%86%
Draws33%0%14%0%25%14%
Loses67%25%43%0%0%0%

Form: Sevilla: LLWDWLW • Barcelona: WWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Sevilla Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total4711111021
GF avg1.31.81.63.72.53.0
GA total6410145
GA avg2.01.01.40.31.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSevillaBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%71%100%57%
1.557%57%86%14%
2.50%14%71%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSevillaBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSevillaBarcelona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSevillaBarcelona
Wins12
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-26-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-2
Goals For2263
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricSevillaBarcelona
Form43%57%
Att35%65%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total29.8%70.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.83 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away1.57 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sevilla = 0.89 (league 1.46), Barcelona = 4.28 (league 1.17)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sevilla 0 0.6% 2.4% 5.2% 7.4% 7.9% 6.8%
1 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.1%
2 0.2% 1.0% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 2.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.2% · Draw 5.9% · Away win 64.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1