Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.46 (league 1.46) 0.89 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.9% 9.6% 5.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.9%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesValencia
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack86%86%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Valencia
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%50%0%25%
Draws25%25%25%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%25%75%50%

Form: Alaves: WLDWLDLW • Valencia: DLWLWDLL

League goals

Metric Alaves Valencia
HATHAT
GF total7297310
GF avg1.80.51.11.80.81.3
GA total53831114
GA avg1.30.81.00.82.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%75%75%
1.525%13%38%50%
2.513%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score022022

Penalties

MetricAlavesValencia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAlavesValencia
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-0
Biggest losses1-21-01-26-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against2126

Model comparison

MetricAlavesValencia
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total72.2%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alaves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Betano
Away3.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 3.46 (league 1.46), Valencia = 0.89 (league 1.17)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.7% 6.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 5.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1