Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:15 • Spotify Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.85 (league 1.46) 0.18 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 0.6% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
13.7%
4 - 0
11.8%
3 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.7% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaGirona
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%33%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Girona
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins100%60%75%20%0%13%
Draws0%20%13%20%67%38%
Loses0%20%13%60%33%50%

Form: Barcelona: WWDWWWWL • Girona: LLLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Barcelona Girona
HATHAT
GF total111122325
GF avg3.72.22.80.60.70.6
GA total18910717
GA avg0.31.61.12.02.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaGirona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%50%88%
1.575%25%13%50%
2.563%13%0%38%
3.513%13%0%25%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaGirona
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaGirona
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaGirona
Wins40
Draws12
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-32-1
Biggest losses4-10-45-0
Goals For6321
Goals Against1445

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaGirona
Form67%33%
Att79%21%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution97%3%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ 1xBet
Draw7.50 @ 1xBet
Away13.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 5.85 (league 1.46), Girona = 0.18 (league 1.17)

Girona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 13.7% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 0.6% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1