La Liga — Spain
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:15 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.45) 0.82 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 32.6% 28.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.4%
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 16.4% 13.4% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoReal Sociedad
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack36%29%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo Real Sociedad
HATHAT
Played538448
Wins0%0%0%25%0%13%
Draws80%67%75%25%25%25%
Loses20%33%25%50%75%63%

Form: Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLD • Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo Real Sociedad
HATHAT
GF total437437
GF avg0.81.00.91.00.80.9
GA total64105712
GA avg1.21.31.31.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoReal Sociedad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%100%75%88%
1.50%25%13%50%
2.50%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoReal Sociedad
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoReal Sociedad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoReal Sociedad
Wins01
Draws52
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-0—
Biggest losses0-22-11-23-1
Goals For1121
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoReal Sociedad
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 0.99 (league 1.45), Real Sociedad = 0.82 (league 1.17)

Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 16.4% 13.4% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1