La Liga — Spain
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.45) 3.06 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 15.6% 57.1%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.1%
1 - 2
7.0%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Levante 0 0.9% 2.8% 4.2% 4.3% 3.3% 2.0%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.4% 3.3%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.7%
3 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLevanteRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack71%29%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Levante Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played358358
Wins0%40%25%0%40%25%
Draws33%20%25%67%0%25%
Loses67%40%50%33%60%50%

Form: Levante: LLLDWLDW • Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLW

League goals

Metric Levante Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total5813268
GF avg1.71.61.60.71.21.0
GA total95143710
GA avg3.01.01.81.01.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLevanteRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%63%88%
1.550%63%25%25%
2.513%25%13%13%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLevanteRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricLevanteRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLevanteRayo Vallecano
Wins11
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-4—1-3
Biggest losses1-42-00-12-0
Goals For2413
Goals Against4213

Model comparison

MetricLevanteRayo Vallecano
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : Levante or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Levante = 1.65 (league 1.45), Rayo Vallecano = 3.06 (league 1.18)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Levante 0 0.9% 2.8% 4.2% 4.3% 3.3% 2.0%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.4% 3.3%
2 1.2% 3.8% 5.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.7%
3 0.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 57.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1