La Liga — Spain
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 20:00 • Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.47) 0.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 51.9% 26.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.3%
0 - 1
19.2%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 44.3% 19.2% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayo VallecanoAlaves
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack54%38%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayo Vallecano Alaves
HATHAT
Played369549
Wins0%50%33%40%25%33%
Draws67%0%22%40%25%33%
Loses33%50%44%20%50%33%

Form: Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWW • Alaves: WLDWLDLWD

League goals

Metric Rayo Vallecano Alaves
HATHAT
GF total2911729
GF avg0.71.51.21.40.51.0
GA total3710538
GA avg1.01.21.11.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayo VallecanoAlaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%67%78%
1.533%22%22%11%
2.522%11%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayo VallecanoAlaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricRayo VallecanoAlaves
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricRayo VallecanoAlaves
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-12-01-21-0
Goals For1331
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricRayo VallecanoAlaves
Form58%42%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h60%40%
Goals71%29%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away4.10 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayo Vallecano = 0.38 (league 1.47), Alaves = 0.43 (league 1.15)

Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayo Vallecano 0 44.3% 19.2% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 7.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 51.9% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1