La Liga — Spain
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:15 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.46) 0.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 19.2% 15.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridBarcelona
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack100%92%
Defense42%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Barcelona
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins100%80%89%100%60%78%
Draws0%0%0%0%20%11%
Loses0%20%11%0%20%11%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWW • Barcelona: WWDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total81220131124
GF avg2.02.42.23.32.22.7
GA total2792810
GA avg0.51.41.00.51.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%100%67%
1.578%11%78%22%
2.533%11%56%11%
3.511%11%11%11%
4.50%11%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricReal MadridBarcelona
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricReal MadridBarcelona
Wins64
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-46-00-3
Biggest losses—5-2—4-1
Goals For3463
Goals Against1514

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridBarcelona
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h0%100%
Goals31%69%
Total50.6%49.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barcelona

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Dafabet
Draw4.47 @ 1xBet
Away3.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.32 @ Pinnacle
No3.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 2.19 (league 1.46), Barcelona = 0.96 (league 1.15)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 4.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.4% 9.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1