La Liga — Spain
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio de Mestalla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.45) 0.69 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.8% 17.5% 10.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valencia 0 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.0% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenciaVillarreal
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack67%89%
Defense33%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valencia Villarreal
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%0%22%80%25%56%
Draws25%40%33%20%25%22%
Loses25%60%44%0%50%22%

Form: Valencia: DLWLWDLLD • Villarreal: WWDLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Valencia Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total731012416
GF avg1.80.61.12.41.01.8
GA total311143710
GA avg0.82.21.60.61.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenciaVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%89%67%
1.533%44%56%33%
2.511%11%11%11%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%11%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenciaVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricValenciaVillarreal
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricValenciaVillarreal
Wins13
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—5-01-2
Biggest losses1-26-0—3-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against2623

Model comparison

MetricValenciaVillarreal
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Valencia or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away2.30 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valencia = 2.23 (league 1.45), Villarreal = 0.69 (league 1.15)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valencia 0 5.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.0% 8.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.8% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 10.1%

vtt 24 , vtd1