La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:15 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.45) 1.42 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 21.8% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.4% 6.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridSevilla
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack86%57%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Sevilla
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%20%50%20%60%40%
Draws20%60%40%20%0%10%
Loses0%20%10%60%40%50%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWW • Sevilla: LLWDWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Sevilla
HATHAT
GF total126189817
GF avg2.41.21.81.81.61.7
GA total551010616
GA avg1.01.01.02.01.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridSevilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%70%100%80%
1.540%30%50%60%
2.520%0%10%20%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridSevilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridSevilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridSevilla
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-24-10-2
Biggest losses—2-11-33-2
Goals For5242
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridSevilla
Form68%32%
Att60%40%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h80%20%
Goals62%38%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.44 @ Pinnacle
Away9.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 1.98 (league 1.45), Sevilla = 1.42 (league 1.13)

Sevilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.4% 6.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 56 , Vtod1