La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.47) 0.31 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.6% 8.0% 2.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
16.4%
4 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.4% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.3% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal MadridValencia
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack86%29%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Madrid Valencia
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins100%80%90%40%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%20%40%30%
Loses0%20%10%40%60%50%

Form: Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWW • Valencia: DLWLWDLLDL

League goals

Metric Real Madrid Valencia
HATHAT
GF total1012227310
GF avg2.02.42.21.40.61.0
GA total371051116
GA avg0.61.41.01.02.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal MadridValencia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%60%70%
1.580%10%30%50%
2.530%10%10%10%
3.510%10%0%10%
4.50%10%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal MadridValencia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score000134

Penalties

MetricReal MadridValencia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricReal MadridValencia
Wins61
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-0—
Biggest losses—5-20-26-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against1526

Model comparison

MetricReal MadridValencia
Form86%14%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Winner : Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ 1xBet
Draw8.84 @ Pinnacle
Away19.35 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Madrid = 2.99 (league 1.47), Valencia = 0.31 (league 1.15)

Valencia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Madrid 0 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.4% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.3% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.6% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 2.0%

Vtot 54 , Vtod1