La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio de la Ceramica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.46) 0.78 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 20.6% 13.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 6.3% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.5% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillarrealRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack57%50%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villarreal Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played55104610
Wins80%40%60%25%50%40%
Draws20%20%20%50%0%20%
Loses0%40%20%25%50%40%

Form: Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDW • Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Villarreal Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total126183912
GF avg2.41.21.80.81.51.2
GA total37103710
GA avg0.61.41.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillarrealRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%70%70%
1.560%30%30%20%
2.510%10%20%10%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillarrealRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricVillarrealRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVillarrealRayo Vallecano
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-21-00-3
Biggest losses—3-10-12-0
Goals For5213
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricVillarrealRayo Vallecano
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Villarreal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.02 @ 1xBet
Away5.15 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No2.22 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villarreal = 1.98 (league 1.46), Rayo Vallecano = 0.78 (league 1.15)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villarreal 0 6.3% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.5% 9.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 13.9%

Vtot 53 , Vtod1