La Liga — Spain
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.45) 2.08 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 20.2% 61.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.6%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 4.9% 10.2% 10.6% 7.3% 3.8% 1.6%
1 4.6% 9.5% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoBarcelona
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo Barcelona
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins0%40%18%100%50%73%
Draws83%40%64%0%17%9%
Loses17%20%18%0%33%18%

Form: Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDDWW • Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo Barcelona
HATHAT
GF total5813161228
GF avg0.81.61.23.22.02.5
GA total771431013
GA avg1.21.41.30.61.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoBarcelona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%100%100%73%
1.518%27%73%27%
2.59%0%55%9%
3.50%0%9%9%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoBarcelona
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoBarcelona
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoBarcelona
Wins04
Draws51
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-36-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-1—4-1
Goals For1363
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoBarcelona
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total42.3%57.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.38 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ 188Bet
Away1.79 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Pinnacle
No3.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 0.94 (league 1.45), Barcelona = 2.08 (league 1.15)

Barcelona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 4.9% 10.2% 10.6% 7.3% 3.8% 1.6%
1 4.6% 9.5% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 61.8%

Vtot 51 , Vtod1