La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 20:00 • RCDE Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.46) 1.25 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 24.4% 29.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Espanyol 0 5.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.1% 11.4% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEspanyolVillarreal
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack71%100%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Espanyol Villarreal
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins67%20%45%83%40%64%
Draws17%40%27%17%20%18%
Loses17%40%27%0%40%18%

Form: Espanyol: WDWWLDDLWWL • Villarreal: WWDLWWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Espanyol Villarreal
HATHAT
GF total1051516622
GF avg1.71.01.42.71.22.0
GA total76133710
GA avg1.21.21.20.51.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEspanyolVillarreal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%91%55%
1.545%55%64%27%
2.59%0%18%9%
3.50%0%18%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEspanyolVillarreal
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricEspanyolVillarreal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricEspanyolVillarreal
Wins23
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-25-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-0—3-1
Goals For3252
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricEspanyolVillarreal
Form41%59%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals24%76%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villarreal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Espanyol = 1.63 (league 1.46), Villarreal = 1.25 (league 1.15)

Villarreal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Espanyol 0 5.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.1% 11.4% 7.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 29.1%

Vtot 54 , Vtod1