La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Mendizorrotza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.46) 1.39 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 25.1% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.5% 11.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesCelta Vigo
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack50%90%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Celta Vigo
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins50%17%33%0%40%17%
Draws33%17%25%71%40%58%
Loses17%67%42%29%20%25%

Form: Alaves: WLDWLDLWDLWL • Celta Vigo: LDDDDDLDDWWL

League goals

Metric Alaves Celta Vigo
HATHAT
GF total92117815
GF avg1.50.30.91.01.61.3
GA total651111718
GA avg1.00.80.91.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesCelta Vigo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%92%100%
1.525%8%25%33%
2.58%0%8%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesCelta Vigo
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score145101

Penalties

MetricAlavesCelta Vigo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricAlavesCelta Vigo
Wins12
Draws15
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-1—2-3
Biggest losses1-21-02-42-1
Goals For3123
Goals Against2142

Model comparison

MetricAlavesCelta Vigo
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away3.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 1.44 (league 1.46), Celta Vigo = 1.39 (league 1.15)

Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.5% 11.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 48 , Vtod1