La Liga — Spain
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.46) 0.87 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 32.2% 30.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
15.4%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 15.6% 13.6% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.6% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElcheReal Madrid
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack23%77%
Defense38%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elche Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%0%25%100%67%83%
Draws50%50%50%0%17%8%
Loses0%50%25%0%17%8%

Form: Elche: DDWDWDWLDLLD • Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Elche Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total7613141226
GF avg1.21.01.12.32.02.2
GA total311143710
GA avg0.51.81.20.51.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElcheReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%92%50%
1.525%25%75%8%
2.50%17%33%8%
3.50%0%17%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElcheReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets303336
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricElcheReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricElcheReal Madrid
Wins16
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-01-4
Biggest losses—3-1—5-2
Goals For2244
Goals Against1315

Model comparison

MetricElcheReal Madrid
Form13%87%
Att23%77%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h7%93%
Goals24%76%
Total22.8%77.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.60 @ 188Bet
Away1.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Elche = 0.99 (league 1.46), Real Madrid = 0.87 (league 1.15)

Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elche 0 15.6% 13.6% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.6% 6.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 30.7%

Vtot 62 , Vtod1