La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:30 • Estadio El Sadar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.46) 0.69 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 24.2% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osasuna 0 9.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOsasunaReal Sociedad
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack40%70%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Osasuna Real Sociedad
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws20%14%17%17%50%33%
Loses20%86%58%33%50%42%

Form: Osasuna: LWLWLDLWLLDL • Real Sociedad: DDLLLWLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Osasuna Real Sociedad
HATHAT
GF total8199514
GF avg1.60.10.81.50.81.2
GA total58138917
GA avg1.01.11.11.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOsasunaReal Sociedad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%83%92%
1.525%25%25%42%
2.50%8%8%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOsasunaReal Sociedad
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score066112

Penalties

MetricOsasunaReal Sociedad
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricOsasunaReal Sociedad
Wins12
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-2—
Biggest losses2-32-01-23-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricOsasunaReal Sociedad
Form33%67%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Osasuna or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ 1xBet
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away2.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.68 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Osasuna = 1.65 (league 1.46), Real Sociedad = 0.69 (league 1.15)

Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Osasuna 0 9.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 42 , Vtod1