La Liga — Spain
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.45) 1.96 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.3% 17.8% 75.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 2
19.4%
0 - 3
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oviedo 0 10.1% 19.8% 19.4% 12.7% 6.2% 2.4%
1 3.3% 6.6% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
2 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOviedoRayo Vallecano
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack23%38%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oviedo Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins17%17%17%20%43%33%
Draws17%17%17%60%0%25%
Loses67%67%67%20%57%42%

Form: Oviedo: LLWLLLWLLDDL • Rayo Vallecano: WLDLDLLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Oviedo Rayo Vallecano
HATHAT
GF total2573912
GF avg0.30.80.60.61.31.0
GA total10102031114
GA avg1.71.71.70.61.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOviedoRayo Vallecano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%83%58%67%
1.517%58%25%25%
2.58%25%17%17%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOviedoRayo Vallecano
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score448235

Penalties

MetricOviedoRayo Vallecano
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricOviedoRayo Vallecano
Wins13
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-14-0
Goals For1313
Goals Against3314

Model comparison

MetricOviedoRayo Vallecano
Form17%83%
Att38%63%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total32.7%67.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rayo Vallecano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.26 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 1xBet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oviedo = 0.33 (league 1.45), Rayo Vallecano = 1.96 (league 1.13)

Rayo Vallecano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oviedo 0 10.1% 19.8% 19.4% 12.7% 6.2% 2.4%
1 3.3% 6.6% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
2 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.3% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 75.4%

Vtot 60 , Vtod1