La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 20:00 • Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.46) 0.63 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.1% 10.3% 4.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
12.0%
2 - 0
11.9%
4 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Oviedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico MadridOviedo
Played55
Form100%20%
Attack91%27%
Defense91%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Madrid Oviedo
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins86%33%62%14%17%15%
Draws14%50%31%29%17%23%
Loses0%17%8%57%67%62%

Form: Atletico Madrid: LDDWDWWDWWWWW • Oviedo: LLWLLLWLLDDLD

League goals

Metric Atletico Madrid Oviedo
HATHAT
GF total18725257
GF avg2.61.21.90.30.80.5
GA total6511101020
GA avg0.90.80.81.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico MadridOviedo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%62%31%77%
1.546%23%15%54%
2.531%0%8%23%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico MadridOviedo
HATHAT
Clean sheets325303
Failed to score000549

Penalties

MetricAtletico MadridOviedo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAtletico MadridOviedo
Wins21
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-21-01-2
Biggest losses—2-10-32-0
Goals For5213
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricAtletico MadridOviedo
Form83%17%
Att77%23%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total82.0%18.0%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ 1xBet
Draw6.40 @ 188Bet
Away14.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.38 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.44 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Madrid = 3.03 (league 1.46), Oviedo = 0.63 (league 1.15)

Oviedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Madrid 0 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.1% · Draw 10.3% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 30 , Vtod1