La Liga — Spain
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:15 • Spotify Camp Nou
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.46) 0.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 17.9% 2.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.0%
2 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 14.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.0% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.5% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarcelonaAlaves
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack100%18%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barcelona Alaves
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins100%57%77%43%17%31%
Draws0%14%8%29%17%23%
Loses0%29%15%29%67%46%

Form: Barcelona: WWDWWWWLWLWWW • Alaves: WLDWLDLWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Barcelona Alaves
HATHAT
GF total2016369211
GF avg3.32.32.81.30.30.8
GA total312157512
GA avg0.51.71.21.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarcelonaAlaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%69%54%85%
1.577%31%23%8%
2.562%8%8%0%
3.523%8%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarcelonaAlaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score000246

Penalties

MetricBarcelonaAlaves
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBarcelonaAlaves
Wins41
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-10-1
Biggest losses—4-11-21-0
Goals For6431
Goals Against1421

Model comparison

MetricBarcelonaAlaves
Form75%25%
Att88%13%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total75.8%24.4%

Advice: Winner : Barcelona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ 1xBet
Draw7.36 @ Pinnacle
Away14.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barcelona = 1.81 (league 1.46), Alaves = 0.13 (league 1.15)

Alaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barcelona 0 14.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.0% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.5% 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 2.2%

Vtot 34 , Vtod1