La Liga — Spain
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46) 3.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.4% 10.5% 71.3%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.1%
0 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 1.5% 5.0% 8.2% 9.1% 7.5% 4.9%
1 1.3% 4.4% 7.3% 8.1% 6.7% 4.4%
2 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.0% 2.0%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGironaReal Madrid
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack64%82%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Girona Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins29%0%15%100%57%77%
Draws29%50%38%0%29%15%
Loses43%50%46%0%14%8%

Form: Girona: LLLDLDDWLDLWD • Real Madrid: WWWWWWLWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Girona Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total7512141428
GF avg1.00.80.92.32.02.2
GA total1312253912
GA avg1.92.01.90.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGironaReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%92%54%
1.515%54%77%15%
2.58%31%31%8%
3.50%15%15%8%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGironaReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score314011

Penalties

MetricGironaReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricGironaReal Madrid
Wins16
Draws20
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-01-4
Biggest losses0-45-0—5-2
Goals For3144
Goals Against4515

Model comparison

MetricGironaReal Madrid
Form31%69%
Att44%56%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h20%80%
Goals22%78%
Total27.5%72.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Madrid

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.60 @ 1xBet
Draw5.10 @ 188Bet
Away1.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.46 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Girona = 0.89 (league 1.46), Real Madrid = 3.30 (league 1.15)

Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Girona 0 1.5% 5.0% 8.2% 9.1% 7.5% 4.9%
1 1.3% 4.4% 7.3% 8.1% 6.7% 4.4%
2 0.6% 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.0% 2.0%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.4% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 71.3%

Vtot 27 , Vtod16